Dallas Cowboys Week 11: Odds, Predictions & Betting Preview

 Dallas Cowboys Week 11 Betting Preview: Odds, Predictions & Key Insights

Introduction

If you're searching for the latest on the Dallas Cowboys odds, Cowboys vs Raiders predictions, and who has the edge going into Week 11, this preview cuts straight to the chase: the Cowboys are slight favorites, but there’s nuance in the spread, total, and injuries that bettors absolutely need to understand. Dive in for a full Cowboys game preview, key trends, and expert takes to inform your bets.

Dallas Cowboys Week 11 odds graphic showing point spread, moneyline and betting line vs Raiders. Latest Dallas Cowboys NFL Week 11 odds, including point spread, moneyline, and over/under totals for the Cowboys vs Raiders Monday Night Football matchup, optimized for bettors researching real-time lines and predictions.

Current Dallas Cowboys Odds for Week 11

Point Spread Overview

  • The Cowboys are listed as ~–3 to –3.5-point favorites in most books for this matchup against the Raiders. Sportsbook Review+3bet105.blog+3SI+3

  • This spread suggests confidence in Dallas’s offensive firepower, but it also reflects caution around their defensive vulnerabilities. bet105.blog

  • Line movement has seen some shops pull the line toward –3, signaling possible sharp money on Vegas. Predictem.com Sports Picks

Moneyline Breakdown

  • The moneyline is roughly Cowboys –180 to –190 (implying ~64–65% win probability), while the Raiders are about +150 to +160 underdogs. bet105.blog+1

  • According to Dunkel Index, that moneyline suggests a 64.9% implied chance for Dallas. Dunkel Index

Over / Under Total Analysis

  • Most totals are in the 50 to 50.5 points range. Sportsbook Review

  • According to bet105, bookies are offering Over 50 (or 50.5) at +101, while Under is favored at –115 in some places. bet105.blog

  • Considering both teams’ inconsistencies and the Cowboys’ defensive leaks, there's a compelling Over / Under debate.

Cowboys vs Raiders: Matchup Preview

Offensive Comparison

  • The Cowboys’ offense remains one of the more dangerous units, ranking high in total yards per game. Predictem.com Sports Picks

  • Dak Prescott will likely lean on quick passes and efficient play-calling to offset pressure, especially because Dallas’ defense has struggled. Opta Analyst+1

  • For the Raiders, their offense has been among the weakest this season in scoring, which plays into Dallas’s strength. Sportsbook Review+1

Defensive Strengths and Weaknesses

  • The Cowboys’ defense has been a major concern: they allow 30.8 PPG, ranking near the bottom in the league. Opta Analyst

  • On third downs, Dallas has allowed a very high conversion rate. Silver And Black Pride

  • In the red zone, Dallas’s touchdown rate allowed is also concerning: a high percentage of red-zone trips by opponents result in touchdowns. Silver And Black Pride

  • For Las Vegas, they don’t boast a high-powered offense but may look to exploit Dallas’s defensive weaknesses, especially in red-zone and third-down situations.

Key Player Matchups

  • Quinnen Williams is a recent acquisition for Dallas, and his interior pass rush could disrupt the Raiders’ game plan. Opta Analyst

  • The Raiders’ edge presence (for example, Maxx Crosby) could pressure Prescott, but Dallas’ offensive line and Prescott’s quick decision-making are built to mitigate that. Opta Analyst

  • On offense, Raiders’ rookie running back Ashton Jeanty is an interesting piece. He’s been efficient early but tapering later in games per Opta’s data. Opta Analyst

Cowboys point spread chart displaying Week 11 line movement and betting trends. Visual breakdown of the Cowboys point spread, highlighting early line movement, ATS performance, and how injury updates influence Cowboys betting trends going into Week 11.

Betting Trends and Historical Performance

Cowboys ATS Performance

  • The Cowboys’ Against The Spread (ATS) record this season has been mixed. SI

  • According to PredictEM, there is value on Vegas getting points, because of Dallas’ shaky road ATS record (2–3 on the road as favorites this season). Predictem.com Sports Picks

Primetime Game Trends

  • Dallas has shown propensity to score in primetime games, but their defensive lapses in big moments can make ATS picks risky.

  • Their primetime performance, especially on the road, is a double-edged sword: exciting offense but defensively exploit-able.

Raiders Recent Trends

  • The Raiders, despite their poor record, have covered some lines at home when underdogs. Dunkel Index

  • Their conservative play and slow pace could help them keep the game within the spread if they manage sustained drives.

Dallas Cowboys moneyline comparison for Monday Night Football matchup vs Raiders. A comparative look at the Cowboys moneyline odds for the Week 11 primetime matchup, showcasing sportsbook trends and confidence indicators in the Cowboys' performance.

Expert Predictions for Cowboys vs Raiders

Score Prediction

  • According to Opta’s supercomputer, Dallas has a 73.7% win probability for this game. Opta Analyst

  • SI Betting projects a final score of around Cowboys 30, Raiders 24. SI

  • Dimers’ predictive model gives Dallas a ~62% chance to win, with a closer projected final of 26–22. Dimers

Statistical Spotlight Players

  • Quinnen Williams (Dallas): His interior disruption could be pivotal in key downs. Opta Analyst

  • Ashton Jeanty (Raiders): If he breaks into rhythm early, he could sustain drives and keep the Cowboys off-balance. Opta Analyst

  • Dak Prescott: Efficiency, quick decision-making, avoiding sacks — his performance here is crucial given Dallas’ defensive liabilities.

High-Value Betting Opportunities

  • Under 49.5–50.5 total: Several analysts (e.g., from PredictEM) argue that combined scoring may remain below the book’s total line. Predictem.com Sports Picks

  • Raiders +3 to +3.5: Given Dallas’ road ATS and defensive issues, some bettors see value in taking Vegas with the points. Dunkel Index

  • Cowboys Team Total Over (~26.5): Given their offensive strength and Raiders’ red-zone issues, this could be smart.

Cowboys Injury Report & Impact on Betting

Key Injuries to Monitor

  • Monitor any updates on DeMarvion Overshown and Shavon Revel Jr., as their availability could influence Dallas’ defensive play-calling and performance.

  • Any late-week injury on Prescott or key offensive weapons would heavily shift the betting line or moneyline.

Player Availability & Line Movement

  • Injuries to defensive starters could soften the spread, making Dallas–3 or even –2.5 more likely if news breaks.

  • Conversely, if injuries hit Dallas’s offense, the moneyline or team total bets may become less attractive.

Final Betting Advice for Cowboys Backers

  1. Moderate risk on Cowboys –3 to –3.5: The most straightforward bet if you trust Dallas’s offense to carry them.

  2. Lean under on total: Given both teams’ defensive woes and risky scoring, the under (49.5–50.5) has strong justification.

  3. Consider a same-game parlay or props: For example, Cowboys Over team points + Prescott completions/yardage could offer good value without over-committing to the spread.

  4. Monitor injury news closely: Late injury updates could swing value significantly — stay tuned to official Cowboys injury reports and major sportsbook line adjustments.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q1: What are the current Dallas Cowboys odds for Week 11?
A: The Cowboys are around –3 to –3.5 point favorites, with a moneyline of about –180 to –190, and an over/under total of roughly 50–50.5. FanDuel+2Sportsbook Review+2

Q2: Are the Cowboys favored in the Monday Night Football matchup?
A: Yes — most sportsbooks list Dallas as the road favorite. Sportsbook Review Their implied win probability is strong, but their defensive issues make the bet less straightforward.

Q3: What betting trends support picking the Cowboys?
A: Their strong offense, especially on primetime, supports taking them. But their road ATS record and defensive flaws suggest caution. Predictem.com Sports Picks

Q4: What factors should bettors analyze before wagering on the Cowboys?
A: Key factors include quarterback decision-making (Prescott), defensive efficiency (especially on third downs and red zone), injury reports, and public vs. sharp money flow.

Q5: Where can I find updated Cowboys injury reports?
A: Check the official Dallas Cowboys website, NFL.com injury reports, and major sports news outlets. These reports are updated throughout the week and can influence lines dramatically.

     Outer Links

  1. Opta Analyst’s prediction for Cowboys vs Raiders — for data-driven win probabilities. Opta Analyst

  2. FanDuel Research week 11 picks & odds — for spread/moneyline insight. FanDuel

  3. SI’s betting preview and final score prediction — for expert analysis and model-based estimate. 

Ronny

Posted by Ronny